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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim

 Both teams' firepower will almost certainly be blunted by missing their star strikers through injury, with Stuttgart likely to feel the absence of Guirassy in particular given his superb start to the season. Their winning run surely has to come to an end sooner rather than later, and we believe that Hoffenheim have enough about them to avoid defeat on Saturday, with both managers set to be desperate to get one over on their former clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
47.7% (-0.201 -0.2) 22.22% (-0.02 -0.02) 30.08% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.22199999999999 0.22)34.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.251 0.25)56.31% (-0.255 -0.25)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)14.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)43.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.238 0.24)22.85% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.353 0.35)56.58% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.7%
    Hoffenheim 30.08%
    Draw 22.22%
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim

Stuttgart
74.5%
Draw
23.5%
Hoffenheim
2.0%
51
Head to Head
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> Preview
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
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Stuttgart
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Feb 25, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
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Geiger (16'), Baumgartner (33'), Hubner (45+4')
Endo (58')
Anton (81'), Forster (90+5')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
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Hoffenheim
Kempf (18'), Mavropanos (60'), Massimo (81')
Bruun Larsen (84')
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> Preview
Mar 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 25
Stuttgart
2-0
Hoffenheim
Adams (15' og.), Kalajdzic (64')

Sessegnon (11'), Grillitsch (58')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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