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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
64.51% ( 0) | 18.56% ( -0) | 16.92% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.77% ( -0.02) | 32.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.18% ( -0.02) | 53.82% ( 0.01) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.52% ( -0.01) | 9.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.2% ( -0.01) | 31.79% ( 0) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.88% ( -0.01) | 32.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.41% ( -0.02) | 68.59% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.54% 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.91% 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.56% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.96% 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 16.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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