Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Mainz2 - 0RB Leipzig
FT(HT: 0-0)
Klostermann (51')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 3-0 Mainz
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Mainz 05 0-2 RB Leipzig
Mainz's dreadful start to the season has caught many by surprise - not least those within the club - given their strong performances under Svensson in the last few years. While we believe that they can turn things around, that process is unlikely to begin against an in-form Leipzig team. Indeed, Rose's side have won three successive away games in the Bundesliga and they will be supremely confident of making that four on Saturday, especially with Openda in such excellent form for them in attack. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
16.02% ( 0.13) | 19.93% ( 0.1) | 64.04% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( -0.23) | 40.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( -0.23) | 63.04% ( 0.24) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( 0.02) | 38.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.83% ( 0.02) | 75.17% ( -0.02) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( -0.13) | 12.02% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.52% ( -0.28) | 37.48% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 16.02%
RB Leipzig 64.04%
Draw 19.93%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.02% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.93% | 0-2 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 64.04% |
How you voted: Mainz vs RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
6.0%Draw
4.5%RB Leipzig
89.6%67
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
3-2
RB Leipzig
Form Guide
