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Bundesliga
VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Mainz logo

VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Mainz

Stoger (21' pen.), Schlotterbeck (82')
Bernardo (51'), Paciencia (88'), Losilla (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schlotterbeck (59' og.), Krauss (90+6')
Barreiro (15'), Kohr (20'), Jae-sung (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Bayern
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Mainz 05

 Even at this early stage of the campaign, this meeting has all the makings of a relegation dogfight, with both teams winless across their opening eight games apiece. As such, there is likely to be plenty of nerves and a lack of quality on display, with both managers scared to see their team fall to defeat. We can envisage a low-scoring draw as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
37.24% (0.107 0.11) 22.91% (-0.029 -0.03) 39.85% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 65.67% (0.13600000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59% (0.169 0.17)35.41% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.55% (0.186 0.19)57.45% (-0.18 -0.18)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.126 0.13)19.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (0.202 0.2)51.46% (-0.196 -0.2)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (0.043999999999997 0.04)18.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5% (0.069000000000003 0.07)49.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 37.24%
    Mainz 05 39.85%
    Draw 22.91%
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 37.24%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.87% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Mainz

VfL Bochum
41.3%
Draw
30.0%
Mainz 05
28.8%
80
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
5-2
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Mainz
1-0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
VfL Bochum
2-0
Mainz
Holtmann (21'), Polter (56')
Rexhbecaj (54'), Riemann (87'), Asano (90+3'), Zoller (90+4')

Boetius (56'), Barreiro (67'), Kohr (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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