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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Augsburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Demirovic (53')
Uduokhai (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weghorst (23')
Promel (56'), Akpoguma (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Hoffenheim

Augsburg were extremely fortunate to gain a point away to Koln - who sit bottom of the table ahead of this weekend's action - last time out, but they will not be able to get away with conceding as many chances against Hoffenheim. The visitors can score goals relatively freely with Kramaric and Weghorst in attack, and we expect them to continue their recent trend by following up a defeat with a victory as they look to gain ground on the Champions League places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawHoffenheim
40.5% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 23.43% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 36.06% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 63.49% (0.371 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.82% (0.472 0.47)38.18% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.54% (0.5 0.5)60.45% (-0.5 -0.5)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.167 0.17)19.26% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.274 0.27)50.98% (-0.273 -0.27)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.29600000000001 0.3)21.36% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (0.457 0.46)54.33% (-0.457 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 40.5%
    Hoffenheim 36.06%
    Draw 23.42%
AugsburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.06%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Hoffenheim

Augsburg
23.7%
Draw
15.8%
Hoffenheim
60.5%
38
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 7.30pm
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
1-0
Augsburg
Geiger (39')
Promel (72')

Bauer (59')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hoffenheim
3-1
Augsburg
Bebou (38', 44'), Raum (90+3')
Baumgartner (75')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Hoffenheim

Gouweleeuw (89')
Bruun Larsen (37'), Adamyan (79'), Rutter (87'), Rudy (90+5')
Raum (19'), Rudy (62')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Augsburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Vargas (8'), Hahn (23')
Hahn (90+1')
Skov (86')
Samassekou (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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