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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
54.21% ( 0.09) | 21.62% ( -0.02) | 24.16% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.33% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.58% ( 0.01) | 36.41% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.45% ( 0.01) | 58.55% ( -0) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.47% ( 0.03) | 13.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.41% ( 0.06) | 40.58% ( -0.06) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% ( -0.05) | 27.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% ( -0.07) | 63.53% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.59% Total : 24.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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