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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
37.18% ( 0) | 26.08% ( 0.02) | 36.75% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.5% ( -0.09) | 50.5% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.57% ( -0.08) | 72.43% ( 0.08) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( -0.04) | 26.41% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% ( -0.06) | 61.57% ( 0.06) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -0.06) | 26.65% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( -0.08) | 61.89% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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