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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Koln logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
FC Koln


Siebatcheu (90+2')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln

In addition to suffering two straight losses, FC Koln have failed to score in four of their previous five outings, putting Union Berlin in pole position to claim all three points on Saturday. Given that last weekend's defeat was Union's first since November, the Irons Ones should return to winning ways on home soil, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
54.47% (-1.386 -1.39) 23.64% (0.205 0.21) 21.89% (1.178 1.18)
Both teams to score 52.47% (1.01 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.51300000000001 0.51)48.1% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.471 0.47)70.26% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)17.55% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.554 -0.55)48.08% (0.55 0.55)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (1.461 1.46)36.36% (-1.464 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (1.45 1.45)73.14% (-1.452 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 54.47%
    FC Koln 21.89%
    Draw 23.63%
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.66% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.265 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.89%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

Union Berlin
Draw
FC Koln
Union Berlin
87.7%
Draw
5.5%
FC Koln
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 1, 2022 7.30pm
Union Berlin
1-0
FC Koln
Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')
Nov 7, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Union Berlin
Modeste (7', 86')
Modeste (17'), Duda (54')
Ryerson (9'), Promel (45+1')
Baumgartl (16'), Luthe (18')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
FC Koln
Kruse (48' pen.), Trimmel (67')
Musa (32'), Andrich (88')
Duda (45+2' pen.)
Horn (11'), Ozcan (81'), Skhiri (85')
Nov 22, 2020 5pm
FC Koln
1-2
Union Berlin
Skhiri (36')
Duda (31')
Awoniyi (27'), Kruse (72')
Ingvartsen (35'), Giesselmann (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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