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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Wolfsburg

FC Koln
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Hector (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Svanberg (73'), Nmecha (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 FC Koln
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Wolfsburg

 FC Koln have suffered a solitary defeat in six games since the restart, picking up positive results against the likes of Bayern Munich, RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, while Wolfsburg have lost three of their last four outings. On top of that, Koln's recent record at RheinEnergieStadion is hugely impressive, so we expect the Billy Goats to edge out the Wolves on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
45.99% (0.29499999999999 0.29) 24.77% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 29.23% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.96% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.269 -0.27)46.87% (0.267 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.253 -0.25)69.13% (0.251 0.25)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.9% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)29.65% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.442 -0.44)65.7% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.99%
    Wolfsburg 29.23%
    Draw 24.77%
FC KolnDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.23%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Wolfsburg

FC Koln
75.0%
Draw
13.3%
Wolfsburg
11.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-4
FC Koln
Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Wolfsburg
Gerhardt (43')
Nmecha (50'), Bialek (90+4')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
1-0
FC Koln
Brekalo (69')
Mbabu (22'), Gerhardt (63')

Kainz (90+3')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thielmann (18'), Duda (43')
Arnold (29'), Weghorst (47')
Otavio (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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