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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
43.36% ( 0.18) | 22.79% ( 0.25) | 33.85% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 65.39% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.52% ( -1.41) | 35.48% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.47% ( -1.58) | 57.53% ( 1.58) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.05% ( -0.5) | 16.95% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.96% ( -0.89) | 47.04% ( 0.88) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% ( -0.88) | 21.26% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.82% ( -1.38) | 54.18% ( 1.38) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.7% Total : 33.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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