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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Bayern logo

Borussia M'bach
1 - 2
Bayern

Itakura (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sane (58'), Tel (87')
Mazraoui (22'), Coman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 0-4 Bayern Munich

Having finished outside the top half in each of the last two seasons, Gladbach appear to be a club in decline, especially with their amount of injuries at present. As such, we believe that their unbeaten record against Bayern will come to a convincing end on Saturday, with Kane likely to be licking his lips at the prospect of adding to his impressive goalscoring tally already. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.19%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 20.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-3 (7.1%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
20.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 19.85% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 59.19% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 64.4% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.21% (0.2 0.2)31.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.68% (0.236 0.24)53.32% (-0.235 -0.23)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.104 0.1)27.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (0.13 0.13)63.55% (-0.132 -0.13)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.64% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.51% (0.172 0.17)34.49% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 20.97%
    Bayern Munich 59.19%
    Draw 19.85%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 20.97%
1-1 @ 8.49% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.46% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.53% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.98% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.78% (0.015 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 59.19%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Bayern

Borussia Monchengladbach
16.7%
Draw
10.6%
Bayern Munich
72.7%
66
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Borussia M'bach
3-2
Bayern
Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Sane (83')
Kimmich (63'), Sabitzer (64'), Sane (80'), Nagelsmann (81'), Pavard (90+5')
Thuram (43')
Plea (37'), Kramer (90+5')
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-2
Borussia M'bach
Neuhaus (27'), Lainer (31')
Stindl (78')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Borussia M'bach
5-0
Bayern
Kone (2'), Bensebaini (15', 21' pen.), Embolo (51', 57')
Zakaria (79')

Upamecano (46')
Aug 13, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Bayern
Plea (10')
Stindl (57'), Hutter (86'), Neuhaus (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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