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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Schalke 04 |
78.17% ( 0.02) | 13.43% ( 0) | 8.4% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.59% ( -0.06) | 29.4% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.53% ( -0.07) | 50.47% ( 0.07) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.99% ( -0.01) | 6.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.09% ( -0.03) | 22.91% ( 0.02) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.74% ( -0.08) | 43.25% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.49% ( -0.07) | 79.51% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.78% 6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.45% Total : 78.16% | 1-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.43% | 1-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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