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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Schalke

Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Schalke

Kral (22' og.), Bebou (70' pen.)
Baumgartner (16'), Geiger (40'), Kabak (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Schalke 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 3-1 Schalke 04

 Hoffenheim appear to have finally turned a corner with time to spare in terms of securing their survival this season, and we expect them to have too much quality for the visitors. Schalke's confidence could be bruised after seeing their unbeaten run come to an empathic end against Leverkusen in their most recent match, and it would not be a surprise if their form continues to slide across the coming weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawSchalke 04
44.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 23.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 31.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.93% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (0.15 0.15)39.61% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.04% (0.159 0.16)61.96% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.064999999999998 0.06)17.95% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (0.111 0.11)48.78% (-0.113 -0.11)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)24.52% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (0.116 0.12)58.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 44.99%
    Schalke 04 31.56%
    Draw 23.44%
HoffenheimDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.56%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Schalke

Hoffenheim
73.1%
Draw
9.6%
Schalke 04
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Hoffenheim
5-1
Schalke
Dabour (5', 43'), Angelino (16'), Kabak (51'), Kaderabek (63')
Drexler (69')
Matriciani (41')
Oct 14, 2022 7.30pm
Schalke
0-3
Hoffenheim

Greiml (10')
Skov (11' pen., 59'), Dabour (45+2')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-2
Schalke
Kramaric (47'), Akpoguma (52'), Baumgartner (60'), Bebou (64')
Adamyan (62')
Uth (12'), Mustafi (42')
Serdar (35'), Uth (56')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Schalke
4-0
Hoffenheim
Hoppe (42', 57', 63'), Harit (80')
Kabak (24'), Uth (71')

Bogarde (13'), Kramaric (42'), Gacinovic (50'), Baumgartner (52')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
Schalke
1-1
Hoffenheim
McKennie (20')
Baumgartner (69')
Posch (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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