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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Monchengladbach.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Augsburg |
59.93% ( 0.01) | 20.64% ( 0) | 19.43% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.73% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.01% ( -0.01) | 37.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.75% ( -0.01) | 60.25% ( 0.01) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.65% ( 0) | 12.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.81% | 38.19% ( 0) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% ( -0.01) | 32.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.42% ( -0.01) | 69.58% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.89% 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.97% Total : 59.93% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |