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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Augsburg |
50.19% ( -0.03) | 23.47% ( 0.07) | 26.35% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% ( -0.36) | 43.02% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% ( -0.36) | 65.42% ( 0.36) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -0.14) | 17.25% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( -0.26) | 47.57% ( 0.26) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% ( -0.22) | 29.78% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( -0.27) | 65.85% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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