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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Adli (15'), Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (45'), Palacios (77'), Amiri (81')
Hincapie (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hofmann (58'), Stindl (90')
Kone (35'), Friedrich (47'), Stindl (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Borussia Monchengladbach

Leverkusen are likely to be angry yet highly fatigued after their exerted efforts against Roma ultimately came to nothing, and we believe Gladbach can defy their awful away record to gain a positive result on Sunday. Farke's side always carry an attacking threat in transition and, although it is hard to envisage them keeping Leverkusen out at the other end, we expect to see an entertaining end-of-season affair at the BayArena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
65.81% (0.63500000000001 0.64) 19.26% (-0.286 -0.29) 14.92% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (0.615 0.62)39.8% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.634 0.63)62.16% (-0.628 -0.63)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (0.351 0.35)11.29% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (0.753 0.75)35.92% (-0.748 -0.75)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (-0.073 -0.07)39.32% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)76.02% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 65.81%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 14.92%
    Draw 19.26%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 7.68% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.114 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 65.81%
1-1 @ 9.04% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.26%
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.92%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Borussia M'bach

Bayer Leverkusen
78.1%
Draw
15.6%
Borussia Monchengladbach
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 4.30pm
gameweek 16
Borussia M'bach
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stindl (82', 90+3')
Kone (44'), Weigl (89'), Stindl (90+6')
Bakker (21'), Adli (43'), Amiri (67')
Sinkgraven (90+5'), Bakker (90+6')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Borussia M'bach
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Elvedi (81')
Stindl (45+1'), Beyer (83')
Andrich (51'), Schick (74')
Tah (28'), Bakker (36'), Demirbay (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Sommer (3' og.), Schick (8'), Diaby (55'), Amiri (87')
Demirbay (34'), Bakker (41'), Paulinho (48'), Diaby (90+1')

Kramer (75'), Wolf (76')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 24
Borussia M'bach
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Schick (76')
Amiri (38'), Schick (90+3')
Nov 8, 2020 5pm
gameweek 7
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Borussia M'bach
Alario (27', 41'), Bailey (68'), Baumgartlinger (82')
Hradecky (18'), Bender (51'), Wirtz (84'), Diaby (86')
Stindl (18' pen., 29'), Lazaro (90+4')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Embolo (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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