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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
47.07% | 23.45% | 29.48% |
Both teams to score 60.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.29% | 40.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% | 63.09% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% | 17.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.9% | 48.09% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% | 26.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% | 61.52% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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