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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
39.43% ( -1.1) | 23.92% ( -0.12) | 36.65% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 61.74% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.5% ( 0.73) | 40.5% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.12% ( 0.74) | 62.88% ( -0.74) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% ( -0.2) | 20.74% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% ( -0.32) | 53.36% ( 0.32) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( 0.97) | 22.11% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.52% ( 1.45) | 55.48% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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