Shakhtar1 - 5Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League
for
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 Bayern Munich
Bayern could take some time to settle into the game considering they have a number of injury absentees in their defence and attack, and it would be surprising if they managed to keep a clean sheet. However, Shakhtar have proven to be defensively vulnerable in the Champions League, and it is difficult to see how they overcome the visitors' quality. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Bayern Munich |
33.76% ( 0) | 23.71% ( 0.01) | 42.53% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
