MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 01:22:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 8, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Freiburg logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Freiburg

Bischof (73')
Geiger (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ginter (68')
Osterhage (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, December 3 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg

Hoffenheim are unlikely to create many chances in front of goal considering their poor record in recent weeks, and it is difficult to see them threatening Freiburg given their injury absentees. While Freiburg might struggle for periods on Sunday given their mixed form of late, they should be confident of victory and are no doubt favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
43.07% (0.468 0.47) 23.5% (0.17 0.17) 33.43% (-0.638 -0.64)
Both teams to score 62.56% (-0.846 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (-1.018 -1.02)39.11% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (-1.076 -1.08)61.44% (1.077 1.08)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (-0.218 -0.22)18.53% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.37 -0.37)49.77% (0.372 0.37)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.831 -0.83)23.2% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-1.226 -1.23)57.09% (1.228 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 43.07%
    Freiburg 33.43%
    Draw 23.49%
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.293 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.203 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.43%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Freiburg

Hoffenheim
22.7%
Draw
18.2%
Freiburg
59.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-2
Hoffenheim
Holer (37'), Grifo (55'), Sallai (85')
Gulde (43'), Grifo (56')
Gulde (82')
Weghorst (57'), Beier (77')
Kaderabek (8'), Kabak (31'), Philipp (87')
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hoffenheim
1-2
Freiburg
Kabak (50')
Szalai (39' og.), Sallai (45+3')
Lienhart (15')
Mar 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Freiburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Eggestein (5'), Doan (89')
Stiller (48')
Sep 18, 2022 6.30pm
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Hoffenheim
3-4
Freiburg
Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!