League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe1 - 1Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Morecambe (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Morecambe 1-2 Exeter City
With neither side in particularly good form, that may suit the home side as they look to cause an upset. However, Exeter's recent defeats have been against better opposition, and we expect them to get back on track on Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Exeter City |
28.54% ( 0.04) | 26.12% ( 0.02) | 45.34% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
