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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Portsmouth |
17.15% ( -0.04) | 21.82% ( -0.05) | 61.03% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( 0.15) | 46.97% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.78% ( 0.14) | 69.22% ( -0.14) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% ( 0.04) | 40.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% ( 0.03) | 77.42% ( -0.04) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% ( 0.08) | 14.9% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.72% ( 0.15) | 43.28% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.15% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |