FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale2 - 3Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Exeter
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in League One
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 2-1 Exeter City
Although the previous meeting between the two sides ended in a dominant victory for Exeter, a lot has changed since then and with Port Vale in better form, they should progress to the next round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
51.43% ( 0.01) | 24.57% ( 0.01) | 24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
