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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Ipswich Town |
30.87% ( 0.29) | 26.28% ( 0.09) | 42.85% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.55% ( -0.27) | 52.45% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.87% ( -0.23) | 74.12% ( 0.22) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% ( 0.07) | 31.34% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( 0.08) | 67.7% ( -0.08) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% ( -0.31) | 24.27% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% ( -0.43) | 58.64% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |