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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Morecambe |
35.58% | 27.62% | 36.81% |
Both teams to score 48.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2% | 56.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.27% | 77.73% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% | 30.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% | 66.6% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.36% | 29.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.31% | 65.69% |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.58% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |