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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Burton Albion
2 - 2
Plymouth

Kamwa (41'), Mariappa (90+7')
Oshilaja (17'), Onyango (62'), Hamer (63'), Winnall (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hardie (64' pen.), Mumba (73')
Lonwijk (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth Argyle will be desperate to return to winning ways on Saturday and ensure they maintain a lead at the top of the table, and they have shown far more quality than their hosts throughout the season thus far. Against a Burton Albion team lacking any confidence, we see Schumacher's men cruising to a victory in Staffordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth Argyle
34.77% (-2.772 -2.77) 24.28% (-0.719 -0.72) 40.95% (3.495 3.5)
Both teams to score 60.06% (2.304 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (3.115 3.12)42.55% (-3.114 -3.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (3.034 3.03)64.96% (-3.031 -3.03)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)24.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.115 -0.12)58.34% (0.118 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (3.118 3.12)20.91% (-3.114 -3.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (4.659 4.66)53.63% (-4.655 -4.65)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 34.77%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.95%
    Draw 24.28%
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-1.06 -1.06)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.769 -0.77)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.371 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.279 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.729 -0.73)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.411 0.41)
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.303 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.602 0.6)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.421 0.42)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.429 0.43)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.374 0.37)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.264 0.26)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Plymouth

Burton Albion
20.7%
Draw
10.3%
Plymouth Argyle
69.0%
87
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Plymouth
Broom (90+3')
Clare (19')
Hardie (69')
Watts (28'), Mayor (56'), Opoku (74')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Burton Albion
Jephcott (25'), Moore (47')
Watts (63'), Canavan (72')

Hemmings (58'), Daniel (83')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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