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Fleetwood Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Aston Villa U21s

Coughlin (53'), Odubeko (59')
Lynch (38'), Smith (61'), Hughes (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Buendia (28', 40'), Pierre (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Fleetwood Town and Aston Villa Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 4-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Aston Villa Under-21s

Although promotion from League Two is their priority, Fleetwood Town should still take care of business against Aston Villa's Under-21s, who are obviously short of experience in senior football. In front of their own fans, the Cod Army can start their EFL Trophy campaign with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawAston Villa Under-21s
53.7% (-1.044 -1.04) 20.78% (0.285 0.29) 25.52% (0.76 0.76)
Both teams to score 67.1% (-0.22399999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (-0.634 -0.63)30.86% (0.634 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (-0.76 -0.76)52.23% (0.76 0.76)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19% (-0.496 -0.5)11.81% (0.496 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.95% (-1.074 -1.07)37.04% (1.075 1.08)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (0.173 0.17)23.91% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (0.251 0.25)58.12% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 53.7%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 25.52%
    Draw 20.78%
Fleetwood TownDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.7% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.2% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.159 0.16)
0-1 @ 4.04% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.52%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Aston Villa U21s

Fleetwood Town
79.5%
Draw
5.1%
Aston Villa Under-21s
15.4%
39
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Fleetwood
3-0
Aston Villa U21s
Saunders (3', 4', 15')
Matete (63'), Smith (75')

Revan (26'), Barry (75')
rhs 2.0
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