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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.11% ( 0.06) | 25.86% ( -0.01) | 37.03% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% ( 0.03) | 49.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.43% ( 0.03) | 71.56% ( -0.03) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( 0.05) | 25.99% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% ( 0.07) | 61.01% ( -0.07) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% ( -0.01) | 26.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.92% ( -0.02) | 61.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.11% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
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