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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Reading had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Reading |
53.55% ( -0.18) | 22.57% ( 0.04) | 23.88% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.76% ( -0.03) | 41.24% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.36% ( -0.03) | 63.64% ( 0.04) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.59% ( -0.07) | 15.41% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.78% ( -0.14) | 44.22% ( 0.15) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( 0.11) | 30.78% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( 0.12) | 67.05% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.55% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 23.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 49 |
2 | Wrexham | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 43 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Reading | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 37 |
7 | Barnsley | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 36 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 34 |
9 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 31 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 31 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Blackpool | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 24 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 24 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 20 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 17 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Burton Albion | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 13 |
> League One Full Table |