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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Salford City |
20.83% ( -0.21) | 23.11% ( -0.16) | 56.06% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.87% ( 0.4) | 47.13% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( 0.37) | 69.36% ( -0.37) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.14% ( 0.01) | 36.86% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.36% ( 0.01) | 73.64% ( -0.01) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% ( 0.27) | 16.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.55% ( 0.48) | 46.45% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 56.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |