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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
45.79% ( 0.74) | 26.33% ( 0.04) | 27.87% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.96% ( -0.56) | 54.04% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.53% ( -0.47) | 75.47% ( 0.47) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% ( 0.11) | 23.54% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.41% ( 0.16) | 57.59% ( -0.16) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.6% ( -0.9) | 34.4% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.89% ( -0.98) | 71.11% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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