We say: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle United
It is tough to make a case for the Saints here, as they look like they are heading for the Championship, despite a slight improvement in performances in recent weeks.
Excluding last weekend against Bournemouth, the visitors have been in brilliant form of late, and their trip to Southampton should see them win comfortably this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 28.71% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win is 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).