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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter logo

Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan


Sansone (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (15', 56'), Frattesi (54'), de Vrij (67')
Asllani (38'), Mkhitaryan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Lecce
Friday, February 16 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan

Via del Mare is not a place to venture without caution, but Lecce are on a downward slope and Inter have been simply irresistible this year. Even accounting for some squad rotation, Inzaghi's boys can post another win and inch closer towards the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
19.1% (-0.507 -0.51) 23.51% (-0.255 -0.26) 57.39% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02% (0.342 0.34)50.98% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.299 0.3)72.85% (-0.3 -0.3)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.366 -0.37)40.92% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.329 -0.33)77.48% (0.33 0.33)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (0.40299999999999 0.4)17.54% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (0.695 0.7)48.07% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 19.1%
    Inter Milan 57.39%
    Draw 23.51%
LecceDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 12.49%
0-2 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.31% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.64% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.39%

How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan

Lecce
10.3%
Draw
9.3%
Inter Milan
80.4%
97
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')
Mar 5, 2023 5pm
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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