Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%).
Result | ||
Draw | ||
25.58% | 21.66% | 52.76% |
Both teams to score 63.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.82% | 35.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.81% | 57.19% |
Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% | 26.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% | 61.28% |
Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% | 13.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.36% | 40.64% |
Score Analysis |
Draw | ||
2-1 @ 6.37% 1-0 @ 4.76% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 0.95% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.58% | 1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 3.55% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 4.72% 2-3 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 3.16% 0-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 2.12% 1-5 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 0.95% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Napoli | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Fiorentina | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 32 |
6 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
10 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Torino | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
12 | Empoli | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
15 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |