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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Roma
2 - 4
Inter Milan

Mancini (28'), El Shaarawy (44')
Mancini (47'), Huijsen (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Acerbi (17'), Thuram (49'), Angelino (56' og.), Bastoni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
Monday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-2 Inter Milan

Two teams in fine form meet on Saturday evening, when the hosts' new-found confidence will be truly put to the test. Roma (15) and Inter (14) have scored more goals than any other sides in the final 15 minutes of Serie A matches this season, so it could make for an eventful climax. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
33.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 27.26% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 38.94% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.205 -0.2)55.61% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.168 -0.17)76.77% (0.167 0.17)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.95% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)67.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.181 -0.18)27.81% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.229 -0.23)63.4% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Roma 33.79%
    Inter Milan 38.94%
    Draw 27.25%
RomaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.79%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma
22.0%
Draw
14.4%
Inter Milan
63.6%
118
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Inter Milan
1-0
Roma
Thuram (81')
Pavard (33'), Calhanoglu (56'), Bastoni (64')

Mancini (13'), N'Dicka (47'), Paredes (50'), Cristante (68')
May 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Roma
0-2
Inter Milan
Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
1-2
Roma
Dimarco (30')
Dybala (39'), Smalling (75')
Apr 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
2-0
Roma
Dzeko (2'), Sanchez (68')

Zaniolo (37'), Mancini (38'), Mourinho (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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