MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:38:53| >> :600:424241:424241:
Lazio logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Roma

Zaccagni (51' pen.)
Castellanos (60'), Guendouzi (65'), Pellegrini (90+3'), Pedro (90+5')
Pedro (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cristante (57'), Mancini (65')
Azmoun (90+10'), Mancini (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Lazio and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Lazio
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 1-1 Roma (Lazio to win on penalties)

 In a game that could well be relatively cagey and go the distance, Lazio's recent form and results against Roma could give them the edge. However, form often goes out the window in huge derbies like this, and Mourinho will be looking for a big performance to overturn their recent poor run, but they will be the slight underdogs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.04%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Roma had a probability of 28.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
LazioDrawRoma
42.04% (0.124 0.12) 29.02% (0.044 0.04) 28.93% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 43.32% (-0.189 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.99% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)63.01% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (-0.144 -0.14)82.47% (0.142 0.14)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)29.64% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)65.68% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (-0.247 -0.25)38.43% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.236 -0.24)75.18% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 42.04%
    Roma 28.93%
    Draw 29.01%
LazioDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.85% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 42.04%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 11.38% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 28.93%

How you voted: Lazio vs Roma

Lazio
36.3%
Draw
28.6%
Roma
35.2%
91
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
0-0
Roma
Sarri (33'), Immobile (38'), Alberto (67'), Patric (74')
Mancini (18'), N'Dicka (31'), Lukaku (37'), Azmoun (87')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-0
Roma
Zaccagni (65')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Roma
0-1
Lazio
Anderson (29')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Roma
3-0
Lazio
Abraham (1', 22'), Pellegrini (40')
Karsdorp (48'), Mancini (53'), Zalewski (73'), Oliveira (78')

Pedro (43'), Patric (44'), Leiva (61')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Lazio
3-2
Roma
Milinkovic-Savic (10'), Pedro (19'), Anderson (63')
Leiva (25'), Cataldi (87')
Ibanez (41'), Veretout (69' pen.)
Patricio (11'), Cristante (45+2'), Vina (48'), Mourinho (61'), Veretout (87')
> Preview
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