Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 1Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Roma
Milan could complete the double over Roma in Serie A's Sunday night kickoff, as their squad has stood up to its latest raft of absences much better than their opponents, who are also depleted and are generally less effective outside of Rome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Roma had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
49.19% ( -0.05) | 25.05% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
