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Serie A
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Milan logo

Salernitana
2 - 2
AC Milan

Fazio (42'), Candreva (63')
Inzaghi (33'), Kastanos (44'), Mazzocchi (71'), Gyomber (74')
Fiorillo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tomori (17'), Jovic (90')
Leao (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Salernitana
Monday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Monza
Sunday, December 17 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-3 AC Milan

 Milan have been very strong in attack and should take advantage of a fragile Salernitana backline and record a comfortable victory for the second week running here. Inzaghi's change in approach against Atalanta on Monday worked for a spell, but the quality of their opponents eventually shone through, and the same could well happen again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
29.6% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 25.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 45.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.036000000000001 0.04)48.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.030999999999999 0.03)70.29% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.045999999999992 0.05)30.03% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (0.055 0.05)66.16% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73%21.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)54.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 29.6%
    AC Milan 45.3%
    Draw 25.1%
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.62% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.6%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.3%

How you voted: Salernitana vs AC Milan

Salernitana
10.1%
Draw
8.7%
AC Milan
81.2%
69
Head to Head
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Salernitana
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Dia (61')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 16
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AC Milan
Bonazzoli (83')
Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
AC Milan
2-0
Salernitana
Kessie (5'), Saelemaekers (18')
Bakayoko (24')

Di Tacchio (30'), Djuric (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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