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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Arechi
Milan logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
AC Milan

Bonazzoli (83')
Piatek (73'), Bradaric (76'), Coulibaly (81'), Daniliuc (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
Giroud (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Salernitana
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 3-0 AC Milan
Friday, December 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Salernitana 1-2 AC Milan

Milan must keep winning in order to stay in touch with Napoli at a key stage of the season, and we are expecting the reigning champions to navigate their way to an important three points on Wednesday, but they might have to suffer for stages of the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
21.36% (1.157 1.16) 21.39% (0.073 0.07) 57.25% (-1.225 -1.23)
Both teams to score 59.27% (1.601 1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (1.265 1.27)38.73% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (1.321 1.32)61.03% (-1.317 -1.32)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (1.816 1.82)31.58% (-1.81 -1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (2.043 2.04)67.98% (-2.038 -2.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.045000000000002 0.05)13.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (0.087000000000003 0.09)40.27% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 21.36%
    AC Milan 57.25%
    Draw 21.39%
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.64% (0.231 0.23)
1-0 @ 4.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.241 0.24)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.39%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.55% (-0.491 -0.49)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.502 -0.5)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.73% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.168 0.17)
1-4 @ 3.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.88% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.087 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 57.25%

How you voted: Salernitana vs AC Milan

Salernitana
11.3%
Draw
13.5%
AC Milan
75.2%
133
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Bologna2291033527837
7Fiorentina21106535221336
8AC Milan219753223934
9Roma228683328530
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli224992129-821
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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