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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Salernitana

Monza
3 - 0
Salernitana

Augusto (24'), Mota (35'), Pessina (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Candreva (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Monza
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-2 Salernitana

Salernitana will be angry after falling to a late defeat against Fiorentina in midweek, and we can envisage them bouncing back with a win on Sunday. Monza are at least one year behind their forthcoming opponents in terms of their development, and that may be more obvious than expected at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawSalernitana
59.59% (0.21 0.21) 22.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 18.22% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.278 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.196 -0.2)46.83% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (-0.184 -0.18)69.09% (0.181 0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)44.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)39.49% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-0.311 -0.31)76.18% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Monza 59.58%
    Salernitana 18.22%
    Draw 22.18%
MonzaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 59.58%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Monza vs Salernitana

Monza
30.6%
Draw
22.2%
Salernitana
47.2%
72
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 1pm
Salernitana
1-3
Monza
Gondo (51')
Veseli (70'), Casasola (79')
Frattesi (49'), Balotelli (81', 90+1')
Pirola (40'), Balotelli (83')
Dec 30, 2020 3pm
Monza
3-0
Salernitana
Balotelli (4'), Barilla (45'), Armellino (90+5')
Bellusci (55')

Gyomber (26'), Djuric (30')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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