Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
59.59% ( 0.21) | 22.19% ( -0.02) | 18.22% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.17% ( -0.2) | 46.83% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.91% ( -0.18) | 69.09% ( 0.18) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.67% ( 0) | 15.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.93% ( 0) | 44.07% ( -0.01) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.51% ( -0.33) | 39.49% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.82% ( -0.31) | 76.18% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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