Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Hellas Verona |
44.41% ( -1.55) | 24.8% ( 0.13) | 30.79% ( 1.42) |
Both teams to score 56.78% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.8% ( 0.12) | 46.2% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.5% ( 0.11) | 68.49% ( -0.12) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( -0.63) | 20.86% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.44% ( -0.99) | 53.56% ( 0.99) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( 1.03) | 28.24% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( 1.28) | 63.95% ( -1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |