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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Monza
2 - 0
Spezia

Augusto (32'), Mari (63')
Sensi (34'), Izzo (49'), Ranocchia (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

N'Zola (41'), Nikolaou (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-3 Monza
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-1 Spezia

Monza look to have gotten themselves back on track in recent weeks and will head into this weekend's clash as favourites and while we expect Spezia to provide a stern test, we are backing the home side to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monza.

Result
MonzaDrawSpezia
62.27% (0.137 0.14) 20.61% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 17.12% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)41.71% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (0.052 0.05)64.11% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06)12.84% (-0.051 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81% (0.114 0.11)39.2% (-0.107 -0.11)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)37.73% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)74.51% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Monza 62.27%
    Spezia 17.12%
    Draw 20.61%
MonzaDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.98% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 17.12%

How you voted: Monza vs Spezia

Monza
74.5%
Draw
13.7%
Spezia
11.8%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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