Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Monza |
32.74% ( 0.01) | 27.13% ( -0) | 40.13% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.01% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.72% ( 0.01) | 55.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.5% ( 0) | 76.5% ( -0.01) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% ( 0.01) | 31.49% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.12% ( 0.01) | 67.88% ( -0.01) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% | 26.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( -0) | 62.34% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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