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Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Friuli
Monza

Udinese
2 - 3
Monza

Perez (49', 68')
Perez (78'), Deulofeu (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valoti (45'), Molina (70'), Petagna (72')
Birindelli (26'), Bondo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Monza and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Monza
Saturday, October 15 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 2-0 Monza

With their impressive form in the league, the expectation would be a win for Udinese. Even though Monza have improved, Udinese may be a test too far at this stage of their development. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawMonza
35.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.06% (0.0030000000000001 0) 39.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.41% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.94% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)46.05% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.14% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)57.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 35.46%
    Monza 39.48%
    Draw 25.05%
UdineseDrawMonza
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.48%

How you voted: Monza vs Udinese

Monza
27.3%
Draw
7.3%
Udinese
65.5%
55
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 5.30pm
Monza
1-2
Udinese
Colpani (32')
Caldirola (24'), Pepin (82'), Pessina (90+2')
Beto (36'), Udogie (77')
Udogie (23'), Nestorovski (82')
rhs 2.0
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