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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

AC Milan
1 - 1
Salernitana

Giroud (45+1')
Giroud (59'), Tomori (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (61')
Sambia (85'), Coulibaly (89'), Dia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, March 8 at 8.10pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Milan have claimed three straight wins at home in all competitions without conceding a goal and are likely to get another routine win over Salernitana, having had an extra day to recuperate following midweek exertions in Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
70.62% (-0.187 -0.19) 18.42% (0.099 0.1) 10.95% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)45.61% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (-0.201 -0.2)67.93% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (-0.113 -0.11)11.66% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (-0.238 -0.24)36.72% (0.234 0.23)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.28% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.84% (0.013 0.01)84.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 70.6%
    Salernitana 10.95%
    Draw 18.42%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 13.26%
1-0 @ 12.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.5% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.6%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.42%
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.09% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 10.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana

AC Milan
82.9%
Draw
12.5%
Salernitana
4.6%
152
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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