Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
46.99% ( 0.21) | 25.45% ( -0.09) | 27.55% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( 0.31) | 50.72% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( 0.28) | 72.62% ( -0.28) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( 0.22) | 21.59% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% ( 0.34) | 54.68% ( -0.34) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.1% ( 0.08) | 32.89% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.53% ( 0.08) | 69.46% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |