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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
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Fiorentina
2 - 1
Roma

Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Roma

 For all their recent stumbles, Fiorentina have been beaten at home just four times in Serie A this season, and they can close out their Stadio Franchi campaign with a win. Roma will be mentally preparing for events in Budapest next week and have all but written off chances of a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
53.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 25.59% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 20.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)77.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.027999999999992 0.03)21.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.85% (0.044999999999995 0.04)54.15% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (-0.02 -0.02)79.09% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 53.81%
    Roma 20.59%
    Draw 25.59%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 14.07%
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
41.7%
Draw
18.1%
Roma
40.2%
127
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
Smalling (15'), Kumbulla (55'), Bove (63')

Dodo (4'), Gonzalez (55'), Julio (79')
Dodo (24')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
gameweek 6
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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