Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
47.06% ( 1.92) | 23.66% ( -0.29) | 29.28% ( -1.63) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.18% ( 0.45) | 41.82% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.78% ( 0.45) | 64.22% ( -0.45) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% ( 0.95) | 17.99% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.15% ( 1.61) | 48.85% ( -1.62) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -0.84) | 27.06% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% ( -1.11) | 62.43% ( 1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.69% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |