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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sampdoria logo

Fiorentina
5 - 0
Sampdoria

Castrovilli (45+2'), Dodo (62'), Duncan (66'), Kouame (76'), Terzic (88')
Kouame (81'), Terzic (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Murillo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Cremonese
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria

These sides have drawn none of their last seven Serie A meetings, and that trend could continue on Sunday evening as Fiorentina get back to winning ways. Samp's weak attack and terrible away record suggests that they cannot overcome the Viola's challenge, so another defeat awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
77.73% (-0.122 -0.12) 14.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 7.66% (0.077 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.35% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (0.064 0.06)38.6% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (0.069000000000003 0.07)60.9% (-0.067 -0.07)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)8.11% (0.0131 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.51% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)28.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.27% (0.237 0.24)51.73% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17% (0.156 0.16)85.83% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 77.72%
    Sampdoria 7.66%
    Draw 14.61%
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 13.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 11.08% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 77.72%
1-1 @ 6.95% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.61%
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.29% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 7.66%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sampdoria

Fiorentina
73.3%
Draw
17.8%
Sampdoria
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
1-0
Sampdoria
Barak (25')
Amrabat (32')

Sabiri (24'), Murillo (54'), Rincon (88'), Contini (90+6')
Murillo (90+3')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
May 16, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')
Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 15
Fiorentina
3-1
Sampdoria
Callejon (23'), Vlahovic (32'), Sottil (45')
Gabbiadini (15')
Gabbiadini (42'), Colley (74'), Ferrari (82')
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
gameweek 22
Sampdoria
2-1
Fiorentina
Balde (31'), Quagliarella (71')
Damsgaard (57')
Vlahovic (37')
Venuti (34'), Pulgar (61'), Bonaventura (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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