Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
40.91% ( -0.15) | 26.69% ( 0.01) | 32.41% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.01) | 53.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0) | 75.12% ( 0.01) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -0.08) | 25.8% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -0.11) | 60.76% ( 0.11) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( 0.09) | 30.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% ( 0.11) | 67.16% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |